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Showing posts with label housing bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label housing bubble. Show all posts

Thursday, 6 August 2015

"QE 1 China" Lowers Bond Rates, The 7 Big Issues, & More Top Insights


China’s One-Year Bonds Decline as Stimulus Seen Boosting Supply




State-owned policy banks will issue at least 1 trillion yuan ($161 billion) of special bonds to help raise funds for infrastructure construction, according to people familiar with the matter. That will add to about 2.8 trillion yuan of municipal debt sold this year.





The national debt. It's well over $18 trillion, and that's only the current value and growing exponentially. The Congressional Budget Office has calculated the present value of our unfunded obligations — such as commitments to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, SNAP, CHIP, government pensions, etc. — total somewhere between $47 trillion and $205 trillion. These are patiently waiting their turn to show up in the national debt.


Eurozone Retail Sales Fall Sharply In June


Retail sales in the eurozone fell more sharply than expected in June, a fresh sign that the currency area's economic recovery remains too weak to quickly bring down very high rates of unemployment, or raise inflation to the European Central Bank's target.
Separately, the final results of surveys of purchasing managers at businesses around the eurozone recorded a slowdown in activity during July, although it was less marked than first estimated.
The European Union's statistics agency said Wednesday retail sales in the 19 countries that use the euro fell 0.6% in June from May, but were up 1.2% from the same month last year. It was the largest month-to-month fall since September 2014. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had estimated sales fell 0.2%, having seen figures from Germany that recorded a large drop.


Italy's industrial output falls more than expected







ROME--Italy's industrial production fell more than expected in June, as it contracted in almost all sectors, reversing the rise seen in the previous month, in a sign that the recovery from the country's worst postwar recession is still fragile.
Industrial output in the euro zone's third-largest economy fell 1.1% on the month in seasonally adjusted terms, national statistics institute Istat said Wednesday.
A more modest fall of 0.2% had been the average forecast of 11 economists polled earlier by The Wall Street Journal.
The monthly fall was led by a 1.7% monthly contraction in the production of intermediate goods, while consumer goods fell 0.8% and energy goods' output contracted 1.0% over the period, Istat said.
Italian industrial production fell 0.3% on the year in June in workday-adjusted terms, Istat said.



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The OECD's figures indicate that a wave of fresh stimulus measures enacted by central banks around the world since late last year has yet to achieve its main goal--minimizing the risk of a slide into deflation. Very low inflation rates make economies vulnerable to a slide into deflation, an outcome that policy makers regard as unlikely, but highly damaging should it occur.





China Securities Finance Corp, the state margin lender tasked with stabilizing the stock market, has injected 200 billion yuan ($32.21 billion) since July into five newly-launched mutual funds, the official China Securities Journal reported on Tuesday.




Negative interest rates have created excess demand for property as an investment, the Zurich-based bank said, which brings the housing market back into focus for the Swiss National Bank (SNB).


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The numbers of those in temporary employment — whose numbers fell during the crisis partly because of their vulnerability — is on the rise again. In July, the Spanish unemployment roll dropped by 74,000, the best July since 1998. But of the 1.8 million labour contracts that were signed during the month, only 6.9 per cent of the contracts were for permanent positions



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Indian consumer sentiment lowest since March: MNI Indicator



Japan’s monetary base stood at a record-high 325.74 trillion yen ($2.63 trillion) at the end of July, up 33.9 percent from a year earlier, as the Bank of Japan continued to provide more liquidity to raise the inflation rate to its targeted 2 percent, BOJ data showed Tuesday. The monetary base reached an all-time high for the 12th straight month. The central bank took additional monetary easing steps last October to raise the pace of supplying funds.




The Oil Crash Has Caused  A $1.3 Trillion Wipe-out





The California Public Employees Retirement System, a $303 billion fund that provides benefits to 1.72 million people, owned a $91.8 million slice of Pioneer Natural Resources Co. in June 2014. At the time, Pioneer was a $33 billion company and one of the biggest shale producers in Texas. Today, Pioneer is worth $19 billion and Calpers’ stake has lost about $40 million in market value.




Learning Success: 

APPLY Tips From The Best





Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway – He is a deeply conservative trader during the times that everyone around him is moving from one extreme to the other to the tune of huge losses and gains. Warren Buffett is a perfect example of patience, proving that slow and steady generally wins the business race. (Although I continue to press my own desire to spur Fishbowl’s inventory software business to race!)


Top Weekly Ideas and Insights

An Inconvenient Truth:


What Happens When Top Economists Realize Physical Growth Constraints?







 EXISTENTIAL REALITY 


"Humanity's Coming of Age"

 - The Last Days of Economic Growth -






Wednesday, 24 June 2015

Next Meltdown Worse Than 2008, & Other Top Insights




Get ready for the next crisis, it's going to be far worse than 2008. Get out of debt. Money in the bank may not be there when you need it. A core holding in precious metals is a must. Invest in alternative energy for your home, it will pay a huge return. Be careful of your investments in Wall Street, they may not be there when you most need them. Most of all, be prepared!








AUSTRALIA is in the midst of the “largest housing bubble on record” and when it bursts it will be a “bloodbath”.
This is the assessment of two housing economists who claim Australia is on track for a US and Irish-style collapse because of an oversupply of housing in the country.
In a frank and scathing submission to the upcoming parliamentary inquiry into home ownership which will begin this Friday, Lindsay David and Philip Soos criticise politicians and the housing industry for perpetuating the myth of housing shortages in major capital cities.
They claim there is actually an oversupply of housing, especially in Victoria.



TOP  INVESTMENT INSIGHT

US  Oil Production Now Past 
 "PEAK  SHALE OIL"



















The Way Humans Get Electricity Is 

About to Change 

Forever 

Solar power will eventually get so cheap that it will outcompete new fossil-fuel plants and even start to supplant some existing coal and gas plants, potentially stranding billions in fossil-fuel infrastructure. The industrial age was built on coal. The next 25 years will be the end of its dominance.














This winter, I traveled to Ohio to consider what would happen if technology permanently replaced a great deal of human work. I wasn’t seeking a tour of our automated future. I went because Youngstown has become a national metaphor for the decline of labor, a place where the middle class of the 20th century has become a museum exhibit.










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The report, commissioned and published by The Lancet medical journal, was compiled by a panel of specialists including European and Chinese climate scientists and geographers, social, environmental and energy scientists, biodiversity experts and health professionals.



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historical-real-gdf-growth-by-sector




Collapse, Part 2: The Nine Dynamics of Decay   

Rome didn't fall so much as erode away. That's the template for collapse.




While collapse may be sudden, the decay that generated the collapse had been rotting away the foundation for years or decades. In distilling the vast literature on collapse into nine dynamics, I am drawing upon many other authors' work, including: 

The Collapse of Complex Societies 


The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Rhythm of History 


The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century 


The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism


Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change


The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization 


Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed 


The Long Descent: A User's Guide to the End of the Industrial Age 


Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects








 Top Weekly Ideas and Insights


The Extinction Debate




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