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  Economic and Markets 2023 Outlook WARNING  What Worked for the Past Decades Will Not For The Next WHAT'S COMING - GLOBAL RECESSION? DE...

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Friday, 25 March 2022

#Market #Rally Trap As #Rate Hikes Will Depress PE and NPV Cash #Values - Just Simple LT Math


 INVESTING.COM

Post Rate Hike Rally Fades




The recent stock market rally is a trap. This is because Wall Street is vastly underestimating how hawkish the Federal Reserve will have to get in order to fight inflation. And how much weaker earnings and GDP growth will become as a result. The fact is Fed Chair Jerome Powell has finally become enlightened to the inflation crisis engendered by his own hand. The Powell's inflation epiphany is mainly the result of his observation that shelter costs are soaring out of control. He now realizes that he will have to pop the housing bubble in order to vanquish inflation.

The data on this front is shocking. Home value growth was so extreme last year that it actually surpassed median salaries in 25 of 38 metropolitan areas across the country, according to research firm Zillow. And, rent prices have surged by nearly 20% nationwide year over year in January, while in the sunbelt, they have skyrocketed by 50%. Some 30% of these properties are owned by Wall Street and other investors.

What else would you expect to occur when the Fed guarantees access to money for next to nothing. Wall Street then uses that cheap credit to purchase massive tracks of single-family homes with a cash deal and then rents them out to would-be first-time homebuyers who have been priced out of the market by this very process. Wall Street wins big, profiting from both the increase in real estate prices and the increased cash flow derived from rising rent payments. While the people the Fed professes to care the most about fall further behind the American dream.


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