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Showing posts with label bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bubble. Show all posts

Monday, 29 June 2015

Chinese Stock Massacre Continues, & Top Insights



Chinese stock markets plunge over fears share prices are unsustainable


China’s Shanghai composite index falls more than 7% in mass sell-off after six months of frenetic buying driven by a state clampdown on property investment

Chinese stock markets plunged on Friday as investors rushed to sell over fears that frenzied buying in recent months had sent share prices to unsustainable levels.

The Shanghai composite index, which reached a post-crash record of 5,166 earlier this month, has since lost nearly 1,000 points, down more than 7% at the last session to 4,193. The CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell 7.9%. 










Banks will remain shut until at least after a July 5 referendum called by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras on whether to accept austerity in exchange for a European bailout, Kathemerini newspaper reported, citing unnamed sources.














Paul Craig Roberts joins the show today to discuss Greece’s possible credit default and its implications, the ongoing tensions between Russia and America, and the U.S. bond market bubble















"The Greek authorities have asked for a month extension. But in that month there can be no disbursements," he said. "How does the Greek government think that it will survive and deal with its problems in that period? I do not know," Dijsselbloem said.












Previous sharp drops in the stock markets this year have been quickly countered by optimistic statements in state-controlled media. But Saturday’s moves, which included the fourth reduction in interest rates since last November, were unusual in so closely following a stock market nose-dive.














The BP report also shows China’s energy demand is growing at the slowest pace since the Asian Financial Crisis in the 1990s as the communist nation suffers a slowing of its economy and tries to reduce its reliance on heavy industry, Bloomberg reported















Collapse, Part 5: Things Fall Apart



It is impossible to wean an economy that relies on debt and leverage for its "growth" of excessive debt and leverage.



The phrase famously appears in William Butler Yeats' 1919 poem, The Second Coming:




Turning and turning in the widening gyre

The falcon cannot hear the falconer;

Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,

The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere

The ceremony of innocence is drowned;

The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.















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Monday, 27 April 2015

Market Caution - US Biotech Stocks Look OverHeated

  
ARE BIOTECH STOCKS IN A BUBBLE?

   


ARE BIOTECH STOCKS IN A BUBBLE?



 This is a question that is being asked. According to an article by Bloomberg (Biotech Index in Nosebleed Territory - Up 500% In 4-years, Trades At 10X Revenues – Bloomberg Business, March 8, 2015) the 269 Biotech companies that are listed on the NASDAQ are up more than 500% in the past four years. The Biotech companies have the biggest weighting on the NASDAQ at 11.2%.

A 500% gain is impressive. The NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (NBI) is up a more modest 338%. The TSX Health Care Index (THC) is up an even more modest 187% in the same period.  It appears that some of the really high flyers are not even in the NBI. As to the THC, it has been led primarily by one stock – Valeant Pharmaceutical (VRX-TSX). VRX is up 665% in the same period. Read More.

Be Extra  Cautious As Rumors Began Last Year 



Monday, 2 June 2014

#CHINA 'S REALTY #BUBBLE TO BURST

New home prices in China have soared, more than quadrupling in Beijing and Shanghai since 2003, and more than doubling in the country as a whole. — Reuters picBust looming over China property
 market?

New home prices
 in China have 
soared, more than quadrupling in
 Beijing and Shanghai since 
2003, and more
 than doubling in the country as a 
whole. — Reuters pic - 






BEIJING, June 1 — After years of boom that have seen prices rocket, the prospect of a bust is looming over China’s vast property sector, with authorities hoping to avoid a meltdown that could send shock waves through the world’s second-biggest economy.Housing was doled out by the state when Communist-style collectivism dominated economic management. But in the past two decades that has given way to market-oriented principles as China’s economy has opened.





New home prices have soared, more than quadrupling in Beijing and Shanghai since 2003, and more than doubling in the country as a whole, according to a report by Jeremy Stevens, Beijing-based Asia economist at South Africa’s Standard Bank.
The increases have been a key source of wealth for China’s rising middle classes, and a major driver of the economy.
Now some — including individuals who have made fortunes — foresee imminent disaster.
“I think Chinese property is the Titanic about to crash into the iceberg right in front of it,” Pan Shiyi, billionaire chairman of commercial developer SOHO China, said at a forum, China Business News reported last week.

Read More


 Insights: 


How big is the real estate bubble in China? On good authority we understand that the number of empty homes exceeds 53 million. Clearly we are nearing a collapse, but the big problem will be the ripple effect on the the global economy that could be crippling for years to come.

You knew this  was going to happen sooner or later. Shorting the banking sector is starting to look attractive and it bolsters the prospects for precious metals including Gold!


Investors' Insights
June 2, 2012


Why is the boom ending?   
Investor



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