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Showing posts with label slowdown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label slowdown. Show all posts

Friday, 28 August 2015

China Piles Up Staggering $5 Trillion In Losses & More #Insights

Take the combined size of all stocks traded in Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa, multiply by two, and you'll get a sense of how much China's market value has slumped since the meltdown started. Shanghai-listed equities erased $5 trillion since reaching a seven-year high in June, half their value, as margin traders closed out bullish bets and concern deepened that valuations were unjustified by the weak economic outlook. 

The four other countries in the BRICS universe have a combined market capitalisation of $2.8 trillion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. 


In the year to July, China's customs agency reports that imports from Australia are down by $15bn dollars on the same period last year - a loss which is already equal to 1% of Australia's GDP, and many other countries stand to lose out to similar degrees. China's imports overall are down by 14.6% over 2015. Find out what happens if this decline continues for the rest of the year - or worsens - and how that loss compares to each country's GDP



Eventually, even at near zero interest rates, the amount of debt becomes too high, relative to income. Governments become afraid of adding more debt. Young people find student loans so burdensome that they put off buying homes and cars. The economic “pump” that used to result from rising wages and rising debt slows, slowing the growth of the world economy. With slow economic growth comes low demand for commodities that are used to make homes, cars, factories, and other goods. This slow economic growth is what brings the persistent trend toward low commodity prices experienced in recent years.

A strange thing happened fifteen minutes after stock markets opened for regular trading on Friday, August 21, 2015. At least some people on the nationally prominent MarketWatch website were privileged to see in advance what would prove to be the full-day losses for both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) and the Standard & Poors 500 (SPX) indices. This harbinger or revelation of what was to come occurred six hours and fifteen minutes before the market's close. The uncanny trend projections, or perhaps target prices, were made available while the Dow was down about 180 points -- more than 350 points above its astonishing Friday close.

There is an almost touching faith that markets are rigged when they loft higher, but unrigged when they crash. Who's to say this crash isn't rigged? A few things about this "crash" (11% decline from all time highs now qualifies as a "crash") don't pass the sniff test.


"Unless we recognise that, and recognise that the productivity challenge and the fiscal challenge are intimately linked, and we have to deal with both of them, then we will go on continuing to repeat the mistakes that we've been making and that will get us into a situation that none of us want to be in."
Dr Parkinson earlier told a room of more than 90 corporate, community and academic leaders that productivity reform could not be detached from fiscal reform.




The ‘Black Monday' stock market turmoil on 24 August saw the FTSE 100 index plummet 14% below its peak of almost 7,000 points in February.

Investors across the globe began panic selling stocks, particularly in commodities, amid fears of the much anticipated growth slowdown in China.
While about £96bn was wiped off share values in the UK blue chip index, the Dow fell 1,000 points on opening and the Shanghai Composite experienced total losses of 35% since June.



Hymans Robertson put the total pain for UK defined benefit (DB) schemes at a staggering £30bn surge in aggregate deficits in a day, as equities values and bond yields headed south. 



Commentators are divided on whether the event was merely a market correction or an indication of more chaos to come.

But what many agree on is the fact that China is no longer the world's economic growth engine, posing the question of where future investment returns will come from.




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Image result for sir richard bransonSir Richard BransonVirgin Group – Anyone who owns more than 400 companies and is worth billions of dollars is clearly doing many things right. I admire Richard Branson’s tenacity, and I admire his personal brand



 



Wednesday, 22 July 2015

Apple's Stock Slammed 8% Despite Record QRT? & More Top Insights


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Current markets have all the makings of a 2000 Dot-Com bubble, just  moments from bursting particularity when these two giants begin to stumble. 

Signs that the gadgets, social media and mobile boom are approaching a peak are everywhere, including Google's huge market lift a few days ago. In all., it just smells like the smart money is heading for the higher ground.

Perhaps this is because the rest of the world looks pretty gloomy as Korea, japan and Brazil continue to add bad news to the poor global economy. Then  remember there's China, Europe, Puerto Rico, pensions, bubbles real estate, low rates,  and on  ...

Who or what did we miss?  Hmm.



Good Luck; Be Careful Out There!










Apple Reports Record Third Quarter Results


CUPERTINO, Calif., Jul 21, 2015 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Apple® today announced financial results for its fiscal 2015 third quarter ended June 27, 2015. The Company posted quarterly revenue of $49.6 billion and quarterly net profit of $10.7 billion, or $1.85 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $37.4 billion and net profit of $7.7 billion, or $1.28 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 39.7 percent compared to 39.4 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 64 percent of the quarter’s revenue.
The growth was fueled by record third quarter sales of iPhone® and Mac®, all-time record revenue from services and the successful launch of Apple Watch™.
“We had an amazing quarter, with iPhone revenue up 59 percent over last year, strong sales of Mac, all-time record revenue from services, driven by the App Store, and a great start for Apple Watch,” said Tim Cook, Apple’s CEO. “The excitement for Apple Music has been incredible, and we’re looking forward to releasing iOS 9, OS X El Capitan and watchOS 2 to customers in the fall.”


ddd


Image result for microsoft in doghouse


Microsoft reports biggest-ever quarterly loss



Microsoft Corp. said its revenue fell 5.1% in its latest quarter, hurt by continued weak PC demand, and posted its biggest quarterly loss ever on a hefty write-down and other items related to the Nokia mobile-phone business acquired last year.
For the period ended June 30, revenue decreased to $22.18 billion from $23.38 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected revenue of $22.03 billion.
Per-share earnings, after stripping out the write-down and other one-time items, also beat expectations.
Microsoft's Windows smartphones have a tiny share of the smartphone market, which is dominated by market leader Apple Inc.'s iPhone.
Earlier this month Redmond, Wash.-based Microsoft said its was writing down about 80% of the $9.4 billion deal for Nokia's handset business and that it would cut more than 6% of its global workforce--mostly in its mobile-phone operation--a year after an earlier round of job cuts to the business.
Overall, Microsoft reported a loss of $3.2 billion, or 40 cents a share, compared with a year-earlier profit of $4.61 billion, or 55 cents a share. Excluding the write-down, restructuring charges and other items, per-share earnings were 62 cents. Analysts expected per-share profit of 56 cents.

  1. Subprime Auto-Loan Titan Defends 

  2. Longer Terms as New Normal

Image result for bankers in congress

The man who created one of the biggest U.S. subprime lenders says there’s nothing dangerous about borrowers being given longer car loans.
When Thomas Dundon helped start the lender that’s become Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc. in the 1990s, subprime borrowers typically were offered four-year car loans, he said Monday in an interview. Now, the standard is six years, he said, partly because wages haven’t kept up with vehicle prices.
Using longer terms to lower payments makes sense when the alternative for consumers and lenders is “a shorter term with an older, cheaper, less-reliable piece of transportation,” he said, after being replaced as the lender’s top executive this month when Banco Santander SA bought out his minority stake.




  1. Canada’s Budget Watchdog Says

  2.  Provincial Debt Unsustainable

Image result for keystone cops cartoon

OTTAWA—Canada’s budget watchdog Tuesday warned that the federal government’s push toward a budget balance masks a serious fiscal threat at the sub national level, where the country’s provincial governments are accumulating debt at an unsustainable pace.






  1. Some Bank of Japan policymakers fret stimulus
  2. effects diminishing: minutes

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda touches his face during a news conference at the BOJ headquarters in Tokyo, July 15, 2015. REUTERS/Yuya Shino



Several Bank of Japan board members said the impact of the bank's massive stimulus might be fading, according to minutes of its June meeting, a sign that not all shared Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's optimism on achieving his 2 percent inflation target.

The nine-member board agreed underlying inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, would continue to improve in the long term, the minutes published on Tuesday showed.

Some members said the reach of the BOJ's stimulus, dubbed quantitative and qualitative easing (QQE), remained substantial given that interest rates in Japan had been stable at a low level despite higher overseas yields, according to the minutes.

But pessimists on the board, such as former market economist Takahide Kiuchi, were less convinced that the stimulus remained powerful enough to keep bond yields at ultra-low levels even as QQE reflated the economy.

"A few members said the effects of QQE might be diminishing, considering long-term interest rates had temporarily risen to a range of 0.5 to 0.6 percent," according to the minutes.





  1. South Korea finmin says Q2 GDP growth to be “much lower” than Q1


South Korean Finance minister Choi Kyung-hwan speaks during a press conference at the Seoul Foreign Correspondents' Club in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, July 21, 2015. Choi said Tuesday that the bitter fight between Samsung and an American hedge fund over a contentious business deal showed that South Korea needs to do more to protect shareholder rights. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)South Korea’s finance minister said on Tuesday second-quarter growth is expected to be “much lower” than growth seen in the first quarter of this year.
“The global economic slowdown and lower oil prices have negatively affected Korea’s export performance,” Finance Minister Choi Kyung-hwan told reporters at a press event in Seoul.
Choi added domestic demand was dampened by the outbreak of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome in late May.
“Taking these into consideration, we project that Korea’s real GDP growth in the second quarter will be much lower than the first quarter,” he said.




  1. Brazilian Airline Cuts Flights, Staff 

  2. amid Economic Slowdown


SAO PAULO – Brazilian airline TAM, partner with Chile’s LAN in Latam Airlines, announced Monday that it is reducing domestic operations by up to 10 percent and laying off 2 percent of staff as a result of the country’s economic crisis.




Brazil’s second-leading carrier in terms of market share said in a statement sent to securities regulators that the decision to trim operations responds to “the challenging economic scenario.”



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  2.    Bank of Canada seen pushing on a string with rate cuts




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