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Showing posts with label policy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label policy. Show all posts

Thursday, 23 July 2015

China's Stock Crash Brings Economic Slump, & More Top Insights

 
Did You Hear?

Investors' Insights Comments

After any significant corrections in the markets there is a high expectation  of economic fall-out. China should not be immune to this pattern, human nature being what it is. But moreover, its slow down will affect the global stage - and who knows where that leads given the sheer fragility caused by excessive leverage.

So, as the Chinese proverbs reflect,all too often we are  - "too soon old, too late wise."


Good Luck, Be Careful Out There


China's stock markets have lost $3.4 trillion, an amount that is larger than the economy of most nations across the world [AFP]

China's great crash: Signs of trouble?


For years, leading experts have been warning about an impending structural downturn in China's economy, a prospect that looks highly likely as the Asian powerhouse runs out of export markets, cheap labour, and "ghost cities" to build.
But few foresaw the dramatic crash in China's burgeoning stock markets, which arguably has foreshadowed other major international developments such as the Iranian nuclear negotiations as well as the Greek bailout drama.
In the span of a few weeks, China's stock markets have lost a staggering $3.4 trillion, an amount that is larger than the economy of most nations. The Shanghai index has lost 32 percent of its value since mid-June.
After relishing a meteoric rise in their shares earlier this year, many investors suddenly saw more than half of their entire wealth wiped out in China's casino-like stock markets.
As panic gripped investors in the country and beyond, the Chinese Communist Party enacted several draconian measures to stave off a complete free fall, leading to the suspension of half of the total trade in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange markets.








Turmoil in China’s Stock Markets Takes a 

Psychic Toll



(From The New York Times)
In some cities, students have dropped out of university, unable to give up their habit of tracking their investments, according to local news media. Wealthy investors have sought counseling, struggling to come to terms with the enormity of their losses after stock prices plunged. In response, doctors are advising traders to take up new hobbies and spend more time with family and friends. Some medical experts say high-risk groups, such as the elderly, the physically infirm and emotionally unstable, should consider withdrawing from the markets altogether.







Marc Faber : The U.S. Stock Market could "easily" drop up to 40 percent


Why US stocks could drop up to 40%

Image result for marc faber

The U.S. stock market could "easily" drop 20 percent to 40 percent, closely followed contrarian Marc Faber said Wednesday—citing a host of factors including the growing list of companies trading below their 200-day moving average. In recent days, "there were [also] more declining than 
advancing stocks, and the list of 12-month new lows was very high on Friday," the publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report told CNBC's "Squawk Box." 




The Big Picture photography competition: round 231

The world will be unable to fight the next global financial crash as central banks have used up their ammunition trying to tackle the last crises, the Bank of International Settlements has warned. The so-called central bank of central banks launched a scathing critique of global monetary policy in its annual report, claiming that central banks have backed themselves into a corner after repeatedly cutting interest rates to shore up their economies. These low rates have fuelled economic booms, encouraging excessive risk taking. Booms have then turned to busts, which policymakers have responded to with even lower rates.  



China Destroyed Its Stock Market in Order to Save It The enormously invasive measures Beijing used to stem trading losses may have damaged the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges for years to come.






A high-rise construction site in Taiyuan, in north China's Shanxi province.China is the number one threat to the global economy, analysts say, with an over-inflated "triple bubble" threatening to drag global gross domestic product below 2 per cent. 




The bullion banks sell uncovered shorts on the gold futures market to drive down an otherwise rising price of gold. By dumping so many uncovered short contracts an artificial increase in “paper gold” is created, and this increase in supply drives down the price. 


More Leading Headlines


  1.         
            

  2.    Bank of Canada seen pushing on a string with rate cuts




Top Weekly Ideas and Insights



An Inconvenient Truth:

What Happens When The Fossil Energy Age Ends?





 EXISTENTIAL REALITY 

End Of Fossil Energy or Archaic Fabrications?




Did You Hear?

Tuesday, 23 June 2015

Top Wall Street Managers Move To Actual CASH? & Other Top Insights.






Today’s broken, “mangled” (to use Citi’s descriptor) markets come courtesy of: 1) frontrunning, parasitic HFTs, 2) the post-crisis regulatory regime which, to the extent it’s well meaning, was conceived by people who never had any hope of evaluating the likely knock-on effects of their policies, and 3) central banks, who have commandeered sovereign debt markets, leaving a trail of illiquidity and shrunken repo in their wake.



TOP  INVESTMENT INSIGHT

US  Oil Production Now Past 
 "PEAK  SHALE OIL"













If the spending from the debt is bad investment or consumption then there may not be the means later to repay the debt to savers who may have lost spending through default of the borrowers. In this case, debt represents purely a bringing forward of spending and economic growth, in lieu of future spending and economic growth. Debt then merely allows greater current spending and creates temporarily the illusion of current prosperity at the expense of future prosperity.











Get ready for the next crisis, it's going to be far worse than 2008. Get out of debt. Money in the bank may not be there when you need it. A core holding in precious metals is a must. Invest in alternative energy for your home, it will pay a huge return. Be careful of your investments in Wall Street, they may not be there when you most need them. Most of all, be prepared!









World Oil Supply Non-OPEC oil supply in 2015 is projected to grow by 0.68 mb/d, in line with the previous forecast and below last year’s strong growth of 2.17 mb/d. OPEC NGLs are forecast to grow by 0.19 mb/d to average 6.02 mb/d in 2015, following growth of 0.18 mb/d in 2014. In May, OPEC production rose to 30.98 mb/d, up by 0.02 mb/d, according to secondary sources.









"Excited delirium"


Medical examiners and police departments say it’s a genuine syndrome. The National Association of Medical Examiners has recognized the condition for more than two decades. And in 2008, the Council of the American College of Emergency Physicians declared that excited delirium is “a real syndrome of uncertain etiology.” Emergency room doctors and medical examiners insist that members of the larger mental health community don’t acknowledge the condition because they never see it.















Collapse, Part 1: Greece


When systems are broke and broken, collapse is the only way forward.



The theme this week is Collapse



 It's a big, ccomplex topic because there are as many types of collapse as there are systems. Some systems appear stable on the surface but collapse suddenly; others visibly decay for decades before finally slipping beneath the waves of history, and some go through stages of collapse.


The taxonomy of collapse is broad, and each unsustainable system (i.e. a system that will fail despite claims to the contrary) has its unique characteristics.


Which brings us to Greece.







LEADING GLOBAL HEADLINES




  1. Decade of drought: a global tour of seven recent water crises
  2. There They Go Again: Asia Central Bank Policies Spur Bubbles
  3. U.S. municipal bond market grows to $3.7 trillion in first quarter
  4. PBOC Seen Cutting Reserve Ratios as Early as This Weekend
  5. BOK to keep accommodative stance: BOK chief (Korea)
  6. U.S. Junk Bonds Show Signs of Cracking as Buyers Pull Cash
  7. Chicago mayor eyes $1.1 billion bond sale to restructure debt
  8. Greek stocks take a beating as ‘Grexit’ risks rise
  9. Greece hangs on as unemployment worsens again
  10. Merkel reignites ‘currency war’ worries
  11. Merkel Defends ECB From German Criticism After Deflation Scare
  12. Treasuries Get Crowded Out as Corporate Bonds Inundate Investors
  13. Left-wing mayors surge into office in Spanish cities
  14. Looming debt default threat alarms Ukraine’s creditors
  15. Puerto Rico tax revenue drops 14.1 percent in May -Treasury




 Top Weekly Ideas and Insights


The Extinction Debate










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