LEADERS

International LEADERS Calling Market Crashes Years Ahead
Second to None, Anywhere...

'Warned 2000 tech slide; predicted 2008 meltdown in 2007. Forecasted 2020 global economic collapse in 2011, AND NOW- BY 2050 - THE MOTHER OF ALL CRASHES"

THE #FUTURE #OUTLOOKS - KEY AREAS OF #CONCERN AND #RISK

  Economic and Markets 2023 Outlook WARNING  What Worked for the Past Decades Will Not For The Next WHAT'S COMING - GLOBAL RECESSION? DE...

GLOBAL MARKETS


Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com

Champion, Lead, Inspire

Search This Blog

GREAT BARGAINS; FUN IDEAS

Showing posts with label #oil #peakoil #oildrum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #oil #peakoil #oildrum. Show all posts

Monday, 2 September 2013

Jim Rogers Blog - Banks Stop Printing Artificial Money

Read More

There is one big problem with Jim's statement - Central Banks have alway and will always print money artificially. Why? First: How is money created? Where is it born? Who creates it? The answers to  these questions are actually quite simple. Money is created by virtue of a journal entry by a Central Banker in their books of account. There is little "physical" rhyme or reason for its creation, as the basis for authorizing the entry is a decision made by policy-makers based on the circumstances of the time. So the amount of entry is not determined by a set tried and true formula tied to GDP or any similar economic measure. It is largely arbitrary. 

So the paper you hold in your hands, bank accounts or use to ascribe other assets value is existentially nothing more than the fiat offspring of a Central Banker's accounting entry. It is not tied to national resources or future resource output potential in anyway - that would put  too much science into this mystical journal entry and money printing process. By the way, the more we print the more global stock markets go up as shown:


Global Stock Market Growth Flat J -Curve (Exponential Upwards)


. 

Therein lies the real issue, because as national resources behind the money supply are exponentially depleted by expanding populations, so is the de facto value of each money unit that had ever or will ever be printed.Thus, creating the basis for another exponential J-curve, as there is an inverse relationship between printed money and exponential resource output depletion. (see charts below) More and more printed money is simply needed to preserve the statu quo perceptions and defer social unrest.

Global Money Supply Flat J-Curve (Exponential Upwards) 




Global Resource Depletion Flat J-curve (Exponential Upwards)




Global Population Growth Flat J-Curve (Exponential Upwards)






Debasement in a sense actually started when the very first dollar was printed. The above hockey-stick charts show a fairly clear relationship between the expanding expanding money supply, resource depletion and population growth, leading to two logical questions: What's left? How long will it last?  The chart below uses oil as a surrogate for resources - and as expected the J-curve is inverted to the money, depletion and population J-curves above.



Global OIL Production (Extraction) Declines - Flat J Curve (Trending to Exponential Downwards)





Not only do these charts paint an obviously  bleak picture - the most important observation is that they are all going the wrong way - Exponentially!  And so is the climate right along with it as population growth spurs a J-curve in climate change as well as can be seen in the undernoted chart.



Global Climate Change - Flat J Curve (Exponential Upwards)


Bottom line is that the printing of money actually correlates with the respective J-curves population growth, resource depletion and climate change. While they correlate the printing of money appears to affect everything in the wrong way. But regardless of causation or correlation all these charts are forming J-curves going the wrong way.  But most importantly, they are doing in EXPONENTIALLY!   

Now try explain these simple J-curves to Central Bankers in Greece, Cyprus, Spain, Portugal, Nauru, Japan, Italy, Ireland, and the rest. Money is de jure or legal evidence from the issuing state that it is obliged to pay its holder the stated value of resource outputs through its various agencies. All is fine until there are no further resource outputs because inputs no longer exist for conversion by the nation's economic processes . As we can see in individual real nations noted, as these J-Curves continue to accelerate, the economic effects and value of money diminishes by country, and should ultimately do so in an exponential manner globally.   


What next? Just keep reading the international headlines.


INVESTORS' INSIGHTS

First Financial Insights
September 2, 2013


"Stop Printing Artificial Money"



     

Tuesday, 6 August 2013

The Jim Rogers Blog: Shale Oil not enough to solve Americas Debt Problems

(more video)


Shale's Big Shoes to Fill

No kidding? In fact, we have done this analysis once before using Bill Gross's (PIMCO) numbers that puts US total debt closer to $100 trillion once all contingencies, guarantees  and other unfunded future liabilities are thrown into the pot. And that's present valuing related assets using today's long-term treasury rates. What happens when they double?

So what would it take to pay off the US debt - you would  think that one trillion barrels in  world -wide oil reserves would do it?  Under strict assumptions it does, but then how do you run the future economy? To be fair, this assumes too, that all US debt is owed to foreigners. It isn't. The vast majority is owed to other citizens that Keynesian economists believe we should  not fret about under the theory  - it is just money you owe  to yourself. That could be a hard one to explain to pensioners if one day that debt is cancelled for whatever reasons.

Still. we are on-side with Mr Rogers, as it is going to take a lot more than shale oil to pay the debt and keep the "physical economy" running for a few more decades. Think about it!

INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights 
August 6,2013 


Another set of NUMBERS




Monday, 29 July 2013

The Marc Faber Blog (Video): “It’s Gonna End One Day… Through War Or Financial Collapse”

(Read and View More)
 
 
No kidding, we guess Marc's finally starting to figure out what we have been saying for years. Sooner or later the abstract economy's - positive-sum game - is going to have to reconcile with the physical economy - a negative-sum game. The outcome of the imbalance correction will be brutal.
 
Or perhaps Marc picked up a copy of The Limits to Growth and discovered a practical application - Oprah calls it an "ah ha" moment when the penny finally drops.
 
INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights
 
July 27, 2013
 
 
When the penny drops...
 

Thursday, 11 July 2013

The Marc Faber Blog : Crude Oil is one of the very few Commodities that look attractive

The Marc Faber Blog : Crude Oil is one of the very few Commodities that look attractive

What is it about these guys? One day, Dr.Kinesa, says oil could go to $500 a barrel because the finite physical constraints are going to cause economic problems, resulting in social disruptions, political turmoil and then geo-political upheaval . What can we say? We read the same articles or fools seldom differ...

INVESTORS' INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights

July 11, 2013


Great Minds Think Alike


Popular Posts All Time

Learn, win achieve