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Showing posts with label growthlimits. Show all posts
Showing posts with label growthlimits. Show all posts
Tuesday, 3 June 2014
Friday, 18 April 2014
China ALERT: Super Rich "KASH-lNG" Out
The Richest Man in Asia is Selling Everything in China
Here’s a guy you want to bet on– Li Ka-Shing.
Li is reportedly the richest person in Asia with a net worth well in excess of $30 billion, much of which he made being a shrewd property investor.
Li Ka-Shing was investing in mainland China back in the early 90s, way back before it became the trendy thing to do. Now, Li wants out of China. All of it.
Since August of last year, he’s dumped billions of dollars worth of his Chinese holdings. The latest is the $928 million sale of the Pacific Place shopping center in Beijing– this deal was inked just days ago.
Once the deal concludes, Li will no longer have any major property investments in mainland China.
This isn’t a person who became wealthy by being flippant and scared. So what does he see that nobody
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Wednesday, 16 April 2014
Fed Tightening Can Trigger Market Crash - No Kidding
Don't Be Surprised
If This Is The Start Of A
Stock Market Crash ...
Business Insider
Stocks are tanking again.
The sudden dives in recent weeks have taken the tech-heavy Nasdaq down 7% from its highs and the S&P and Dow about 3% from their highs.
Drops like that are no big deal.
But some signs suggest that this pullback — or another one sometime soon — could get much more severe.
Why?
Three basic reasons:
- Stocks are still very expensive
- Corporate profit margins are at record highs
- The Fed is now tightening
Let's take those one at a time.
First, price.
The chart below is from Yale professor Robert Shiller. It shows the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio of the S&P 500 for the last 130 years. As you can see, today's P/E ratio of 25X is miles above the long-term average of 15X. In fact, it's higher than at any point in the 20th century with the exception of the peaks of 1929 and 2000 (you know what happened after those).Monday, 7 April 2014
No Doubt Economic Recovery Just A Story
London: The global economy seemed to be on the mend when the
International Monetary Fund met for its spring meeting in Washington 10
years ago. Alan Greenspan had cut official interest rates in the US to 1
percent after the collapse of the dotcom boom and the world’s biggest
economy had responded to the treatment. Gordon Brown was Britain’s
chancellor of the exchequer (finance minister) and the country was in
its 12th year of uninterrupted growth.Companies in the west were flocking to China now that it was part of the World Trade Organisation. The talk was of offshoring, just-in-time global supply chains and integrated capital markets. The expectation was that the good times would last for ever. No serious thought was given to the notion that total system failure was just around the corner. Faith in the self-correcting properties of open markets was absolute. When the crash duly came, a self-flagellating IMF confessed that it had been guilty of groupthink. Downside risks to the forecasts in its half-yearly World Economic Outlook (WEO) are now exhaustively catalogued.
Guess What ? NO END IN SIGHT!

Imagine, therefore, that in five years’ time the IMF is doing its postmortem on another period of global turbulence. What will it say were the warning signs missed during 2014? Here are five to be going on with.
The first will doubtless feature in the WEO due to be published on Tuesday: the global economy’s dependency on exceptionally low interest rates. Since peaking in the 1970s, the trough in interest rates has been lower in each subsequent cycle and they are now barely above zero. The second threat is a bond market crash as the world’s central banks try to return monetary policy to a more normal setting. Central banks are adopting a cautious approach to this process, with the Federal Reserve gradually reducing the amount of bonds it buys under the quantitative easing programme and the Bank of England using forward guidance to reassure borrowers that any increase in official interest rates will be modest and gradual.
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