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Showing posts with label doomgloom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label doomgloom. Show all posts
Tuesday, 3 June 2014
Monday, 21 April 2014
Worst Financial Bubble Ever - Worried Yet?
The Potential Bubble the Federal Reserve Cares Most About
In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, economists debated whether the Federal Reserve should be involved — at all — in pricking bubbles. The housing bubble, and subsequent financial crisis, had led to a disastrous result: Hundreds of banks had failed and millions of Americans had lost their jobs. At the time, many still believed the emergence of future bubbles could only be prevented through financial regulation, and not through interest rate hikes.

Today, however, as interest rates remain at historically low levels and are expected to stay low at least into next year, there is growing concern among investors, economists and central bankers that a new bubble has emerged, and that increased regulation isn’t enough to stop it. Led by a powerful Fed governor, there’s a growing call for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent this bubble from growing.
So what bubble are we talking about? It’s not the one you might expect.
Read More
This
is very bad for future generations as there is no connection any more
between money and a physical capability to deliver tangible value of
any sort over time. Sowing the seeds of hyper-inflation and thus
complete debasement. This also puts more and more pressure on the US
hegemony to continue geo-political engagements in order to protect
natural resource interests; thus what is left of the dollar's physical
value and its image and status as a reserve currency.
Coming generations are hence unwittingly being conscripted into future conflicts around the world as a consequence of these policy actions. The total system's inertia now however is so great that there are almost no other choices. When this ride began, there was just no way to disembark halfway or otherwise . Perhaps.
On reflection one might ask - when did it begin? Why?
Because there... ain't no stopping us now!
Investors' Insights
April 21, 2014
Comments
This
is very bad for future generations as there is no connection any more
between money and a physical capability to deliver tangible value of
any sort over time. Sowing the seeds of hyper-inflation and thus
complete debasement. This also puts more and more pressure on the US
hegemony to continue geo-political engagements in order to protect
natural resource interests; thus what is left of the dollar's physical
value and its image and status as a reserve currency.Coming generations are hence unwittingly being conscripted into future conflicts around the world as a consequence of these policy actions. The total system's inertia now however is so great that there are almost no other choices. When this ride began, there was just no way to disembark halfway or otherwise . Perhaps.
On reflection one might ask - when did it begin? Why?
Because there... ain't no stopping us now!
Investors' Insights
April 21, 2014
Wednesday, 16 April 2014
Fed Tightening Can Trigger Market Crash - No Kidding
Don't Be Surprised
If This Is The Start Of A
Stock Market Crash ...
Business Insider
Stocks are tanking again.
The sudden dives in recent weeks have taken the tech-heavy Nasdaq down 7% from its highs and the S&P and Dow about 3% from their highs.
Drops like that are no big deal.
But some signs suggest that this pullback — or another one sometime soon — could get much more severe.
Why?
Three basic reasons:
- Stocks are still very expensive
- Corporate profit margins are at record highs
- The Fed is now tightening
Let's take those one at a time.
First, price.
The chart below is from Yale professor Robert Shiller. It shows the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio of the S&P 500 for the last 130 years. As you can see, today's P/E ratio of 25X is miles above the long-term average of 15X. In fact, it's higher than at any point in the 20th century with the exception of the peaks of 1929 and 2000 (you know what happened after those).
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