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Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts

Thursday, 16 July 2015

US Investors Ignore Global Nosedive So Far??? A Tale of Two Deals, & Top Insights







US stock prices steady as Fed suggests likely rate increase by end of year

US stock prices held steady on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve chair, Janet Yellen, again suggested there would be an interest rate increase by the end of the year, while the euro fell ahead of a Greek government vote on whether to accept tough terms for a vital third bailout.
Janet YellenOil prices fell on worries of growing supply from Iran following a landmark deal that would lift sanctions that have curbed its oil sales for several years. 
“If the economy evolves as we expect, economic conditions likely would make it appropriate at some point this year to raise the federal funds rate,” Yellen said in a testimony prepared for a US House panel.
According to Yellen, the Federal Reserve is keeping an eye on the situation in Greece as well as the stock market turmoil in China. On Tuesday, China surpassed expectations when its gross domestic product rose by 7%.








China growth beats 


forecasts but stocks

 

dive again



China's economy grew an annual 7 percent in the second quarter, beating analys' forecasts, though its volatile stock markets took a sharp dive in a reminder of the threats to Beijing's efforts to direct the economy out of a slowdown.

Policymakers had already unleashed a series of measures to pull stocks out of a 30 percent nosedive and appeared to have succeeded last week, but Wednesday's tumble could reawaken concerns over the government's ability to manage the economy.

The day began on a positive note with the growth figures and monthly activity data that also beat expectations across the board, with factory output hitting a five-month high, following reports of increased bank lending on Tuesday.

As the National Bureau of Statistics released the upbeat figures, it described the stock markets as key to economic stability. As if on cue, the key indexes, already down in morning trade, fell more than 4 percent in the afternoon.

The CSI300 index eventually ended down 3.5 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 3 percent.

"Investors liquidated their positions as the GDP data failed to impress," said Steven Leung, a director at UOB Kay Hian in Hong Kong.




Greek MPs pass austerity bill as Athens police clash with protesters

Riot police use teargas outside the Greek parliament

Alexis Tsipras drives through tax increases and pensions shakeup amid angry splits in his Syriza party

Five years into the worst crisis to hit their country in decades, Greek MPs voted by a large majority in the early hours of Thursday morning to accept draconian austerity as the price of further bailout funds but at great personal cost to prime minister Alexis Tsipras
In a vote that saw tensions soar in and outside parliament, the embattled leader’s radical leftist Syriza party suffered huge losses as 40 MPs revolted against the measures. A total of 229 lawmakers voted in favour of the internationally mandated measures, 64 against and six abstained.


Iranians take to Tehran streets to hail nuclear deal


Iranians poured onto the streets of capital Tehran after the Ramadan fast ended at sundown on Tuesday.


Iranians poured onto the streets of the capital Tehran, after the Ramadan fast ended at sundown on Tuesday to celebrate the historic nuclear deal agreed with world powers in Vienna.
Supporters of President Hassan Rouhani and his top negotiator, Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, waved Iranian flags from their cars, while drivers honked their car horns.
At least three thousand people also gathered along Valiasr Street near the Tajrish district of northern Tehran, singing celebratory songs while dancing and flashing victory signs.  
With the signing of the agreement, people who attended the celebration said they are hopeful that the country's economy and the lives of ordinary citizens would improve. 
Once sanctions are lifted in the coming months, Tehran will gain access to $100-bn in frozen assets, while opening the country for trade.
On Wednesday, Rouhani hailed the agreement as a political victory for his country, saying the agreement meant that Iran would no longer be regarded as an international threat.



The pool of distressed U.S. corporate bonds, typically those yielding more than 10 percentage points above benchmarks, has swelled to $127 billion, from the low last year of $43.7 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data show. This month alone, Peabody Energy’s $4.8 billion of bonds have fallen 14.9 percent, while Cliffs Natural Resources’s $2.5 billion of notes have declined 14.6 percent.





Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos, left, speaks with Italian Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan during a meeting of EU finance ministers at the EU Council building in Brussels on Tuesday, July 14, 2015. British Treasury chief George Osborne arrived to a EU meeting of finance minister with a clear message, don't expect Britain, which is not part of the euro, to pay for any of Greece's rescue money.Italy's public debt has risen to a new record of 2.2 trillion euros ($2.4 trillion), up by 23.4 billion euros in May. The figure published by the central bank on Tuesday brought recriminations by opposition politicians against Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan for not bringing down the debt load, which had even at lower levels threatened a sovereign debt crisis.


That is the prediction from Ruchir Sharma, head of emerging markets at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, who says a continuation of China’s slowdown in the next years may drag global economic growth below 2 percent, a threshold he views as equivalent to a world recession.










Friday, 26 June 2015

Trillions Lost, As Chinese Stock Slump Grows, & Top Insights



Chinese Shares Slump Raises Questions About Length of Correction

China’s main stock indexes have finished the week on a grim note, with the Shanghai Composite ending down 13.3%, its worst showing since the global financial crisis.
Many analysts had warned that Chinese bourses had become too frothy since November, with some companies trading at 200 or 300 times earnings amid incredible volatility.
The doubling in primary indexes in Shanghai and Shenzhen since late last year has made Chinese markets the world’s best performers. But net market capitalisation of the equity markets, at 66.2tn yuan (£6.7tn), now exceeds the size of China’s GDP.










Weekend deadline for Greece after negotiations draw blank


Greece’s creditors have set the country a weekend deadline to avoid default and stay in the eurozone, after more than 24 hours of non-stop Brussels negotiations at the highest level resulted in stalemate.
After talks between Athens and its creditors failed to reach an agreement on Thursday, a further meeting of eurozone finance ministers will be held on Saturday in a bid to achieve a breakthrough. With the German chancellor Angela Merkel insisting that a deal must be reached before markets open on Monday morning, Greece is now running out of time to secure an accord and make a €1.6bn payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday.













TPP protest

Here’s how much corporations paid US senators to fast-track the TPP bill

A decade in the making, the controversial Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is reaching its climax and as Congress hotly debates the biggest trade deal in a generation, its backers have turned on the cash spigot in the hopes of getting it passed.

“We’re very much in the endgame,” US trade representative Michael Froman told reporters over the weekend at a meeting of the 21-member Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum on the resort island of Boracay. His comments came days after TPP passed another crucial vote in the Senate.













Away from Greece and S&P has revised the outlook for the UK from stable to negative, while keeping the country’s credit rating at AAA. It points to the possible departure of the UK from the EU, with the forthcoming referendum:
  • 12-Jun-2015 17:10:21 - S&P REVISES UNITED KINGDOM SOVEREIGN CREDIT OUTLOOK DOWN TO NEGATIVE FROM STABLE; CURRENT RATING IS AAA
  • 12-Jun-2015 17:12:11 - S&P - POSSIBLE U.K. DEPARTURE FROM EU ALSO RAISES QUESTIONS ABOUT THE FINANCING OF THE ECONOMY’S LARGE TWIN DEFICITS AND HIGH SHORT-TERM EXTERNAL DEBT
  • 12-Jun-2015 17:12:29 - S&P - U.K. GOVERNMENT’S DECISION TO HOLD REFERENDUM ON EU MEMBERSHIP SHOWS ECONOMIC POLICYMAKING COULD BE MORE EXPOSED TO PARTY POLITICS THAN EXPECTED











On average, American households are $7,177 in debt, according to a CardHub study. That's a lot of debt, but not necessarily an unconquerable amount. Now's a good time to start digging your way out of it.










On war, Griffin contends, “War is primarily a psychological weapon. The threat of war, the fear of war, that is more useful to governments than actual war. Machiavelli said years ago said that the best way to keep people content and overlook the miseries they have to suffer under their own governments is to embroil the people in wars or rumors of wars. So, they would be so afraid of an enemy that they would tolerate any insult to their liberties as a means of preventing this thing they dread so much. That is certainly the prime operative today.









In a country where a sitting congressman told a crowd that evolution and the Big Bang are “lies straight from the pit of hell,” (link is external) where the chairman of a Senate environmental panel brought a snowball (link is external) into the chamber as evidence that climate change is a hoax, where almost one in three citizens can’t name the vice president (link is external), it is beyond dispute that critical thinking has been abandoned as a cultural value. Our failure as a society to connect the dots, to see that such anti-intellectualism comes with a huge price, could eventually be our downfall.









It was another volatile week in the markets. The interest rate decision by the U.S. Fed on Wednesday was a non-event with no change in the Fed’s monetary policy. The market reacted with a spike in stocks, bonds, and precious metals, while the U.S. dollar took a dive. Also, the unfolding drama in Greece spooked markets and metals; stock markets are nervous while metals mostly get bids each time the Greek crisis flares up.










Collapse, Part 4: Loss of Faith in Public 

Institutions

Public institutions are now devoted to serving their own vested interests or the interests of private financial Elites.

Though we may think of collapse in terms of ATMs not working and rampaging mobs, collapse actually starts with the intangible loss of faith in public institutions:elected officials, law enforcement, the justice system and the agencies of financial regulation (anti-trust, etc.).


Unsurprisingly to those who discern the structural rot of the status quo,Americans No Longer Believe In Their Institutions:


“Americans’ confidence in most major U.S. institutions remains below the historical average for each one,” a Gallup spokesman said in a news release. All in all, it’s a picture of a nation discouraged about its present and worried about its future,More  and highly doubtful that its institutions can pull America out of its trough.


The Extinction Debate














Sunday, 9 March 2014

Housing Crash to Spark UK Inflation?



House price crash raises spectre of inflation risk, says Bootle









By Joe McGrath
Roger Bootle, a managing director of Capital Economics and
former Treasury economic forecaster, said the market is “heading for a very nasty adjustment at some point”, citing concerns about affordability.
He told delegates at the National Association of Pension Funds investment conference in Edinburgh: “That is going to pose all sorts of dire financial problems and a real policy dilemma for the [future] government and the Bank of England.”
He said that a future UK government might decide to favour inflation, particularly if the economy saw another downturn. (Read More)

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